{"id":"W2579991080","doi":"10.1175/jcli-d-16-0506.1","title":"The Arctic Winter Sea Ice Quadrupole Revisited","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Climate","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Seventh Framework Programme","keywords":"Climatology; Sea ice; Arctic ice pack; Empirical orthogonal functions; Arctic; Geology; North Atlantic oscillation; Mode (computer interface); Arctic sea ice decline; Oceanography; Arctic oscillation; The arctic; Antarctic sea ice","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006340101,0.0001604404,0.0002039226,0.0006987449,0.0003532727,0.000861139,0.000216187,0.0001537206,0.000749913],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0014097,0.00007308494,0.0002044447,0.001120739,0.0008047225,0.0006469958,0.0003840716,0.0003207683,0.00009244969],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004144327,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004118866,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02026994,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02680819,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998246,0.00004668979,0.00001106276,0.00004611082,0.00004344964,0.0000281112],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995843,0.0001356154,0.0001033166,0.00004283099,0.00008256032,0.00005143573],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005379482,0.0000481134,0.765413,0.0001795373,0.0001726876,0.0007630758,0.002679693,0.01054112,0.02024043,0.0356789,0.002364337,0.1613811],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000147965,0.0001128401,0.964797,0.0000774599,0.00004846281,0.0005099484,0.001962706,0.00894847,0.001149893,0.01069019,0.01165674,0.00003151136],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9813809,0.00213216,0.005884577,0.0004963106,0.00007434057,0.000007973924,0.0003400591,0.00002972995,0.009654004],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9982142,0.0005373347,0.0005893519,0.00005032871,0.00003488866,0.000001408128,0.0001009751,0.000007399729,0.0004640513],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02026994,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04030389,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01299482568769513,"score_gpt":0.2529585847908103,"score_spread":0.2399637591031152,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}