{"id":"W2586689094","doi":"10.1016/j.jinf.2017.01.015","title":"Model-informed risk assessment for Zika virus outbreaks in the Asia-Pacific regions","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Infection","topic":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":43,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"State Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity","keywords":"Zika virus; Outbreak; Geography; Dengue fever; Environmental health; Public health; Transmission (telecommunications); Population; China; Socioeconomics; Virology; Medicine; Virus; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006677445,0.00008873413,0.0002262208,0.0001157634,0.0002784964,0.0001080646,0.0001005827,0.00006425042,0.00001191266],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004365903,0.00005392468,0.0002850927,0.00004017619,0.00002918953,0.0002936192,0.00001134154,0.0002893369,0.000002122782],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001294969,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002533957,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001344902,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002050731,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991491,0.00003723878,0.000359599,0.00007588138,0.0002351787,0.0001430004],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986348,0.0000776268,0.0006785316,0.00030787,0.0002225698,0.00007864338],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.005161906,0.00303742,0.6872768,0.0003612801,0.000995811,0.0001508352,0.001901406,0.006703673,0.005137607,0.01209765,0.06559137,0.2115842],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005846416,0.00117369,0.9174017,0.0001955366,0.0006485335,0.0002156241,0.0003565006,0.04895288,0.0001262439,0.004113773,0.02085029,0.0001187537],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9198981,0.0001685818,0.05606439,0.007983804,0.0007572663,0.0008736944,0.00002190241,0.0000142539,0.01421805],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983005,0.0004447041,0.0003917503,0.0001777478,0.0004590185,0.00003222432,0.000003192175,0.000008800929,0.0001820879],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2301249,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2198984,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03273547302315412,"score_gpt":0.3602207159166423,"score_spread":0.3274852428934882,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}