{"id":"W2588246711","doi":"10.1080/10920277.2016.1246254","title":"Joint Insolvency Analysis of a Shared MAP Risk Process: A Capital Allocation Application","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"North American Actuarial Journal","topic":"Probability and Risk Models","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Capital allocation line; Univariate; Insolvency; Context (archaeology); Ruin theory; Capital (architecture); Joint (building); Bivariate analysis; Actuarial science; Time horizon; Joint probability distribution; Computer science; Economics; Multivariate statistics; Risk model; Microeconomics; Finance; Profit (economics); Mathematics; Engineering; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002489977,0.0001801577,0.0007151358,0.0006447861,0.0008816207,0.0006172485,0.001552993,0.00005796384,0.0001463261],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003949169,0.0001286275,0.0004613369,0.001078829,0.00057531,0.0009975344,0.0001264414,0.0004060126,0.00005112858],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00008682112,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003996272,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001682685,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004411245,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9961983,0.0002561742,0.001207126,0.0004894283,0.001557163,0.0002918286],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9928397,0.0002262935,0.004391955,0.001211699,0.001072281,0.0002580633],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002761737,0.0002768764,0.614054,0.00000544996,0.0005915228,0.00000370992,0.004953462,0.009445201,0.0002064403,0.0001199997,0.0002218228,0.3698454],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004383517,0.0002141492,0.9506729,0.00000758685,0.0005470417,0.000007375856,0.0007513697,0.0340906,0.0000747786,0.01258125,0.0004216349,0.0001930161],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8617681,0.00002920821,0.1368677,0.0006302682,0.0002099308,0.0002057106,0.00009581262,0.0000147675,0.0001784868],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970284,0.00007511231,0.0024928,0.00005093904,0.0002829655,0.00001726182,0.00001718122,0.000009128278,0.0000262192],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3696524,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6780803,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05923760721549716,"score_gpt":0.3638674325201129,"score_spread":0.3046298253046157,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}