{"id":"W2588470798","doi":"10.5539/ijsp.v6n2p1","title":"Justification of Wold’s Theorem and the Unbiasedness of a Stable Vector Autoregressive Time Series Model Forecasts","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Statistics and Probability","topic":"Scientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Autoregressive model; Mathematics; Univariate; Series (stratigraphy); Applied mathematics; STAR model; Representation (politics); Multivariate statistics; Time series; Autoregressive integrated moving average; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008211764,0.00006997949,0.000238028,0.00008208262,0.0001439277,0.0002563016,0.0005802935,0.00002873039,0.00008501679],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0107661,0.00003863725,0.00004699194,0.0000389399,0.0009023438,0.0003731837,0.00009078491,0.00006903572,6.879247e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002850174,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001896324,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00003138704,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004023057,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974373,0.0001786709,0.0007478622,0.0001449755,0.001425203,0.00006596013],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9929513,0.0009358203,0.001826013,0.0002735114,0.003969788,0.00004355514],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.006231994,0.000342661,0.02906842,0.00009769011,0.0003472391,0.000005023004,0.01069814,0.007478602,0.007192226,0.7131041,0.005269089,0.2201649],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001029505,0.00007056043,0.03876513,0.00005931992,0.00004435145,0.000008300894,0.0001683986,0.1893465,0.001421337,0.7689415,0.00009525695,0.0000498343],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8827655,0.0001459758,0.1118299,0.002912218,0.0008225284,0.0003104684,0.0005347831,0.00000206599,0.0006765118],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9901829,0.00002580566,0.00942203,0.00000887747,0.0000369751,0.000002090479,0.000003898778,0.000002393031,0.0003149936],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.220115,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9975666,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1462528546574513,"score_gpt":0.3884939326537068,"score_spread":0.2422410779962555,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}