{"id":"W2599211751","doi":"10.1162/daed_a_00433","title":"The Next Mr. Putin? The Question of Succession","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Daedalus","topic":"Russia and Soviet political economy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Presidency; Presidential system; Elite; Prime minister; Ecological succession; Politics; State (computer science); Principal (computer security); Power (physics); Political science; Political economy; Quarter (Canadian coin); Presidential address; Economic history; Law; Sociology; Public administration; History","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001087054,0.00004234637,0.00006921471,0.0000063264,0.002620521,0.0002837433,0.0006124732,0.00005073722,0.0000777434],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007460042,0.0000213638,0.00004830134,0.00002305434,0.0008081791,0.0002032636,0.00006818979,0.00008211108,0.00005525995],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002345518,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00009898974,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005557678,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001267269,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992752,0.000161362,0.0001241514,0.00008224026,0.0001570897,0.0001999684],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991468,0.000252653,0.0001235657,0.0003786856,0.0000394387,0.00005883883],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000004375164,0.000008780592,0.004060177,0.000002078218,0.000004022052,4.888237e-7,0.001184923,5.866138e-7,0.00001752426,0.9641569,0.001316054,0.02924412],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001810241,0.00002913339,0.1174534,0.00002919295,0.00001505425,4.750761e-7,0.003063982,0.0002406454,0.0002576896,0.08795942,0.7906706,0.00009942394],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.285626,0.0002018113,0.00004262457,0.04733011,0.0008649801,0.0001989161,0.000002757436,0.00002351563,0.6657093],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958272,0.0001233273,0.00001462483,0.0001438784,0.0002887557,0.000006807003,5.806684e-7,0.000002828333,0.003591996],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8761975,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9986779,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04342114498432777,"score_gpt":0.3751397871176811,"score_spread":0.3317186421333533,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}