{"id":"W259961753","doi":"","title":"Desynchronized Global Recovery under New Leadership","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The journal of business forecasting","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economic recovery; Recession; Economics; Business cycle; Global recession; Quarter (Canadian coin); Financial crisis; Commodity; Pace; Economic policy; Business; Finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002610618,0.0009448504,0.0004403453,0.001079795,0.002529686,0.009362505,0.0008298936,0.003319427,0.02428876],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003533966,0.000204403,0.0004428686,0.001073813,0.002213197,0.009219361,0.007099288,0.005760424,0.006596496],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00293508,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005389212,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003906597,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007203371,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983665,0.0002425673,0.00006261981,0.0001457698,0.0003944408,0.0007881795],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998475,0.00007765073,0.0001885236,0.0001605106,0.000399943,0.0006983895],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001865608,0.00008803428,0.003413855,0.0003669607,0.00002933584,0.0007055693,0.002205706,0.0006448961,0.0009550077,0.2250964,0.6135939,0.1527137],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001499029,0.00006876163,0.005691925,0.0001967606,0.000007522334,0.0001651711,0.002481372,0.0002281208,0.0001671833,0.02686063,0.964092,0.00002542997],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.03319023,0.02168702,0.004944382,0.2888652,0.02725542,0.0001659996,0.003181551,0.001196409,0.6195138],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6544118,0.0305867,0.005587978,0.1028685,0.01145032,0.0003371568,0.004775491,0.0008472945,0.1891347],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02428876,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08125407,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1167808066174055,"score_gpt":0.242059612680058,"score_spread":0.1252788060626525,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}