{"id":"W2600046906","doi":"10.34989/sdp-2017-2","title":"Global Real Activity for Canadian Exports: GRACE","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Econstor (Econstor)","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Great recession; Economics; Global recession; International economics; Measure (data warehouse); International trade; Macroeconomics; Keynesian economics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006006437,0.0005601015,0.0003692677,0.004245228,0.001244229,0.002464222,0.0004768123,0.0002586909,0.006832486],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003206088,0.0001118802,0.0006478044,0.0105728,0.0006697988,0.0007901147,0.001131595,0.0006905171,0.0004155661],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01718875,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01638577,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9792777,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.978834,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994472,0.00003482408,0.00002033697,0.00007960561,0.0002956698,0.0001222646],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998618,0.0001143851,0.0002439067,0.000113783,0.0006980947,0.0002117621],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000183761,0.00008993169,0.7287651,0.0002237628,0.0004017708,0.0002512056,0.004002299,0.01382474,0.0004921975,0.06532786,0.1081045,0.07833289],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001746932,0.00002285977,0.8966152,0.00008317869,0.00009952016,0.0000664152,0.00275337,0.006823183,0.0004837893,0.003843586,0.08910694,0.00008452732],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.7455915,0.002318814,0.003768081,0.00479212,0.0001346193,0.00009777788,0.1092597,0.0003407216,0.1336966],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9481128,0.001219965,0.002578518,0.0001765991,0.00004629796,0.00004609983,0.03473762,0.00008134888,0.01300071],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9828113,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1247137,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02319812685432433,"score_gpt":0.2912608479110294,"score_spread":0.2680627210567051,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}