{"id":"W2604271787","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2919120","title":"Production Delay and Belief Distributions in a Continuous-Time Cobweb Model","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada; Government of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Econometrics; Economics; Mathematics; Mathematical economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004663817,0.001356699,0.002241105,0.001372362,0.0007871482,0.005059619,0.00322172,0.004483027,0.01023985],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02408611,0.001337263,0.0009039656,0.001914278,0.003243032,0.006509495,0.001832861,0.003006066,0.00158712],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002048972,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001204724,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007575051,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002694957,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998912,0.0004406825,0.00005184432,0.0002832751,0.0001266366,0.0001856485],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9789957,0.01751324,0.001313909,0.000572623,0.0007599866,0.0008445447],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003486439,0.0001313557,0.002338239,0.0001849453,0.0001002987,0.0006443941,0.0005360022,0.4570823,0.001149962,0.5251455,0.001911358,0.01042709],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008317817,0.00006016032,0.0005482243,0.0000302943,0.00005399669,0.0001320687,0.00009371452,0.799784,0.0001750427,0.1981891,0.0008010609,0.00004918532],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2580951,0.003086115,0.7153835,0.005815413,0.0001987002,0.0000646903,0.0007158123,0.0003935464,0.01624714],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9557433,0.002085314,0.01731334,0.0001826568,0.0001911119,0.00008388286,0.0002741478,0.00009073906,0.02403565],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01023985,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03425568,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01356037781192794,"score_gpt":0.2123815080032748,"score_spread":0.1988211301913468,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}