{"id":"W2617484740","doi":"10.1007/s10530-017-1425-1","title":"Risk analysis of the invasion pathway of the Asian gypsy moth: a known forest invader","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Biological Invasions","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Forest Service; Natural Resources Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Propagule pressure; Biology; Risk assessment; Invasive species; Propagule; Risk analysis (engineering); Event tree; Event (particle physics); Introduced species; Ecology; Environmental resource management; Biological dispersal; Engineering; Computer science; Business; Environmental science; Environmental health","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004137018,0.0001189239,0.0002343759,0.00003484968,0.000784516,0.00001323814,0.00129425,0.0001599013,0.001469327],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008290188,0.00005152242,0.0003353257,0.0003740463,0.001407443,0.00006528854,0.001739085,0.0001859505,0.0000482212],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003620419,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001288296,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008650907,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01041194,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998853,0.0002294887,0.000274962,0.0002621615,0.0001759566,0.0002044514],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982176,0.0001465376,0.0004435097,0.001128875,0.00001063366,0.00005278075],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001052526,0.0001647875,0.9884613,0.000002172309,0.0001145553,8.475449e-7,0.0001187078,0.000660954,0.005071095,0.003302375,0.0008539522,0.001238784],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001252808,0.00007480437,0.9925989,0.00001006775,0.0001648241,5.894951e-7,0.00006590388,0.0002582494,0.001405887,0.003448896,0.001774753,0.00007183178],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.985086,0.00001441533,0.0000462029,0.0006682829,0.0001767013,0.0003130461,0.00004095955,0.00001003629,0.01364439],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.999139,0.00006248895,0.0001129021,0.000241725,0.00001158721,0.0000237265,0.000004034263,0.000003666231,0.000400859],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01405304,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9994435,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08933816581531331,"score_gpt":0.2458306049189678,"score_spread":0.1564924391036545,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}