{"id":"W2619837068","doi":"10.3386/w23455","title":"Asset Pricing in the Quest for the New El Dorado","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Asset (computer security); Capital asset pricing model; Economics; Financial economics; Business; Computer science; Computer security","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006959282,0.0001419849,0.0003170798,0.0002801447,0.000259016,0.001688435,0.0002694966,0.0005715,0.004033294],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005123092,0.0001156348,0.000223976,0.0002682119,0.0005779634,0.001509752,0.0006031851,0.0008107805,0.000190215],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007147663,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003104749,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003137491,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002581765,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998811,0.0000264465,0.000005286465,0.00002768832,0.00003747416,0.00002203601],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991426,0.0004850975,0.0001644626,0.00005653943,0.00007372682,0.000077495],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002694043,0.0001196555,0.0436307,0.0000957766,0.00006128615,0.0008873187,0.0006898162,0.06452394,0.003177711,0.8150416,0.00763273,0.06386995],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008026371,0.00006676043,0.03369042,0.00006032556,0.00003263772,0.0003091083,0.0004443335,0.3742498,0.001018902,0.5806735,0.009326928,0.00004712892],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9097592,0.001669574,0.03591404,0.007063668,0.00007001563,0.00001990646,0.0001841652,0.00005791731,0.04526155],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9933239,0.0005183636,0.001672505,0.00008555704,0.00004012705,0.000006752333,0.00004095636,0.000007712524,0.004304198],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004033294,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0134927,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.5112800673588144,"score_gpt":0.5164404077315182,"score_spread":0.005160340372703853,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}