{"id":"W2621295890","doi":"10.1111/obes.12175","title":"Is the Quarter of Birth Endogenous? New Evidence from Taiwan, the US, and Indonesia","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics","topic":"Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Instrumental variable; Demography; Odds; Earnings; Census; Population; Sample (material); Demographic economics; Economics; Geography; Medicine; Logistic regression; Econometrics; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004298216,0.0001012249,0.0002095706,0.00001488003,0.0006723095,0.0001785699,0.0004080791,0.00006519112,0.0001041244],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001555417,0.00007028589,0.00002987755,0.00001448618,0.0007308802,0.00003982155,0.00009479905,0.00008397007,0.000001946024],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000127711,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001464895,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01447391,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005160367,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992664,0.00005535985,0.0002660069,0.0001695625,0.00007311704,0.000169535],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986362,0.0004736371,0.0003860114,0.0003623875,0.00006926658,0.0000724955],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006629424,0.00003831115,0.6291225,0.00004673734,0.0001360325,0.000002619377,0.03794793,0.00004210084,0.00002946837,0.298799,0.01493793,0.01883108],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006860417,0.0001756012,0.5457128,0.00005852751,0.0001170787,0.000002469259,0.01382118,0.001857479,0.00002352215,0.06415625,0.3730857,0.000303326],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9853277,0.0008187439,0.001308519,0.008106709,0.0002158024,0.0002113037,0.0006732648,0.000003620831,0.003334297],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9733485,0.02114997,0.004521572,0.0003864091,0.0001147823,0.000002663075,0.000003807522,0.000008988221,0.0004633138],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3581478,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9920888,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03815786329727464,"score_gpt":0.2590234351663031,"score_spread":0.2208655718690285,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}