{"id":"W2621575683","doi":"10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199270439.003.0013","title":"Detecting Ideas and Their Effects","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Oxford University Press eBooks","topic":"Political Conflict and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Counterfactual thinking; Politics; Process tracing; Causal inference; Identification (biology); Epistemology; Process (computing); Psychology; Cognitive psychology; Sociology; Econometrics; Social psychology; Positive economics; Computer science; Political science; Mathematics; Economics; Philosophy; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001223126,0.0001985339,0.0002442608,0.00004859411,0.0004785414,0.00005389872,0.0002743154,0.0003167314,0.00001008951],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004512839,0.0002082564,0.0001026513,0.000005248622,0.0003402529,0.00007984602,0.0001256325,0.0003111332,6.894639e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001218499,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008705335,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0008216586,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004309837,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991128,0.00004611426,0.00007830971,0.0002607042,0.0001799602,0.000322136],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992372,0.0002267548,0.0001100601,0.0001670548,0.00005027889,0.0002086267],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001605838,0.00000171396,0.000002543706,0.00002133087,0.00002367895,0.00003135359,0.001158667,4.357665e-8,0.000005624514,0.9444512,0.00008234687,0.05420548],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001884053,0.00003657007,0.00003814129,0.0001219716,0.00004202757,9.612249e-7,0.00007993706,0.000003171637,0.00006833862,0.01404602,0.9851421,0.0002323397],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.000502897,0.0002038873,0.00005296396,0.0000469558,0.0000902365,0.0002241759,0.00002070428,0.00009812613,0.99876],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.01625057,0.0002992499,0.00003451521,0.0001508012,0.0001709057,1.824038e-7,0.000001125383,0.00001343498,0.9830792],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9850598,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8492448,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02011157769291426,"score_gpt":0.2275685711074062,"score_spread":0.207456993414492,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}