{"id":"W2622064087","doi":"10.1139/as-2016-0056","title":"Some Thoughts on Estimating Change to Arctic Cod Populations from Hypothetical Oil Spills in the Eastern Alaska Beaufort Sea","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Arctic Science","topic":"Oil Spill Detection and Mitigation","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"New York State Department of Environmental Conservation; ConocoPhillips","keywords":"Arctic; Beaufort sea; Environmental science; Oil spill; Oceanography; Population; Fishery; Environmental protection; Biology; Geology; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006796386,0.0001205319,0.00009667408,0.00006724942,0.001033503,0.0002805804,0.0007970913,0.00003375715,0.00006386617],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007605514,0.00008856703,0.0000348254,0.0002927736,0.0005856641,0.0008082719,0.0002161803,0.0001461466,0.001165642],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002041925,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001462996,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003966005,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001484943,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982676,0.00004691667,0.0001779678,0.0004499939,0.0007030229,0.0003545109],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998988,0.00009168921,0.00009761216,0.0006592952,0.00001331289,0.000150077],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001776875,0.0002232249,0.8917067,0.000009458491,0.000002745754,0.00001690423,0.005331306,0.001540175,0.003941961,0.001093027,0.00007099124,0.09604572],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001763789,0.00008981918,0.9778407,0.00007886888,0.000006346383,0.000007540114,0.0001239836,0.01444177,0.0007260695,0.006138198,0.000229585,0.0001407871],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9924425,0.000004433471,0.0001525903,0.004593378,0.0008448633,0.0001854665,0.000004638292,0.00002330137,0.001748822],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9933075,0.000002440788,0.004346495,0.001703199,0.0003793682,0.00006219581,0.000001928007,0.000007825541,0.0001891051],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09590493,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996121,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07014221448520562,"score_gpt":0.3117530298655867,"score_spread":0.2416108153803811,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}