{"id":"W2625563494","doi":"10.3386/w23523","title":"Beetles: Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Animal and Plant Science Education","field":"Psychology","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Canadian Institute for Advanced Research","keywords":"Persistence (discontinuity); Psychology; Computer science; Econometrics; Social psychology; Economics; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004253347,0.000116007,0.0003108035,0.0005819356,0.0002159221,0.00003617112,0.0004917471,0.0002716741,0.001171616],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001217858,0.0001113918,0.0000908606,0.00008297638,0.0007400568,0.0001248794,0.0000828647,0.0003654197,0.0001451464],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002702599,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003416066,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002835717,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001839015,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979741,0.000127038,0.0004404168,0.0004295931,0.000788992,0.000239882],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970782,0.0007371909,0.0004645549,0.0003171029,0.001311679,0.00009126408],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002714195,0.001199038,0.03606489,0.00100131,0.0006675934,0.00001348312,0.004445452,0.00003216636,0.002254879,0.4601633,0.4761825,0.01770399],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001582978,0.001860652,0.5607403,0.001387541,0.0001317429,0.000413442,0.004086053,0.0003120159,0.0005381784,0.2863863,0.1414825,0.00107829],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.08332997,0.001245687,0.000002272667,0.0008303471,0.000939981,0.0005022454,0.0005223494,0.000006938607,0.9126202],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9609039,0.0005941167,0.00009718179,0.000004369715,0.0004580471,0.00005881652,0.000291434,0.00001140209,0.03758068],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.877574,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997414,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.6311272703344636,"score_gpt":0.5724237096172949,"score_spread":0.05870356071716865,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}