{"id":"W2626418900","doi":"10.16980/jitc.12.4.201608.333","title":"Estimation of Volatility in International Business Cycles in Korea and Selected Developed Countries under the Financial Crises","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Korea International Trade Research Institute","topic":"Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Volatility (finance); Economics; Financial crisis; Business cycle; Structural break; Monetary economics; Econometrics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006547151,0.0003599397,0.0003123429,0.001279283,0.0001167775,0.0006987337,0.0001834647,0.0001747493,0.0003032291],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002146544,0.000186145,0.0004346276,0.001219599,0.0001246113,0.0005082589,0.0003879368,0.0003266067,0.00005102176],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000403616,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004190095,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01281113,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0100474,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997769,0.00007224467,0.00002456506,0.00004461634,0.00003443724,0.00004721341],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994478,0.0001875498,0.000189284,0.00004106938,0.00008271752,0.00005164211],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002184456,0.0001105378,0.9323928,0.00004525212,0.0003900874,0.0003398825,0.0002821697,0.04268561,0.001558599,0.001517267,0.0004452525,0.02001412],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002019015,0.0001570179,0.81191,0.00003582121,0.0001481578,0.0001808836,0.0009269946,0.1828211,0.001504216,0.001284119,0.0009744131,0.00003692314],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9985602,0.00008398492,0.0008308127,0.00002382824,0.000001889771,0.000005175629,0.0001965999,0.000005909193,0.000291475],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991548,0.00006910086,0.0002742323,0.000003361179,0.000001706595,0.000003823016,0.0004279545,0.000001718118,0.00006342224],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01281113,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02547312,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1187019044992616,"score_gpt":0.3416172284878905,"score_spread":0.222915323988629,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}