{"id":"W2732196014","doi":"10.1111/caje.12442","title":"World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d économique","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":38,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Index (typography); Production (economics); Industrial production index; Autoregressive model; Benchmark (surveying); Real gross domestic product; Industrial production; Economics; Economic indicator; World economy; Econometrics; Real world data; Macroeconomics; Computer science; Geography; Cartography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008671753,0.0003642895,0.001278291,0.0004690172,0.0001216406,0.0001139499,0.000805743,0.0002150015,0.001012362],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002570425,0.0005079526,0.0004357941,0.0002575511,0.0001905671,0.0006707379,0.00004804847,0.0004182557,0.0000558143],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003306319,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003192846,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2284548,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9618449,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968221,0.00004352444,0.001738743,0.0006755599,0.000002999945,0.0007170712],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9943882,0.00006704496,0.002164122,0.0005427328,0.00007482909,0.002763063],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002882051,0.00002834941,0.4337647,0.00009292596,0.0003662538,0.00003655435,0.0008943679,0.003668403,0.000006225153,0.5549839,0.003556986,0.002313183],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003565651,0.001381115,0.2291608,0.000153454,0.0001376002,0.0001917116,0.0004410966,0.05870698,0.0001736048,0.581529,0.1223794,0.002179523],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9783124,0.0003854965,0.0000854779,0.007542721,0.001871072,0.0003254534,0.001678761,0.000009859594,0.009788814],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972837,0.0001217733,0.0005681974,0.0003324353,0.001212011,0.000006416404,0.00001346776,0.00004870895,0.0004132791],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.73339,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999008,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1115935928488559,"score_gpt":0.1896168980165132,"score_spread":0.07802330516765729,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}