{"id":"W2736545652","doi":"10.1093/oso/9780199251919.003.0010","title":"The Demographic Impact of a Mild Famine in an African City: The Case of Antananarivo, 1985-7","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"","topic":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Famine; China; Development economics; Isolation (microbiology); Geography; Quarter (Canadian coin); Spanish Civil War; Economics; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002255551,0.000415696,0.0006652412,0.0005859201,0.0005964966,0.00009064001,0.001125618,0.0003023199,0.0004504717],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005796982,0.0002421283,0.0007445467,0.0007018892,0.002458286,0.0001509776,0.0001459617,0.0004861983,0.000004089511],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001232499,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001268566,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.09075965,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3553664,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969587,0.0003188485,0.0008749497,0.0004676057,0.0007954523,0.0005843851],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9973794,0.0003824606,0.0007148257,0.00113018,0.0002488355,0.0001443463],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007984132,0.0002789669,0.06290521,0.00006719943,0.0008524511,0.0005778308,0.007574794,0.00003039025,0.00000300866,0.9001592,0.002481728,0.02498942],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003401609,0.002977082,0.4530371,0.0009006788,0.00186543,0.0001370965,0.0476532,0.001157028,0.000017504,0.2974901,0.1869065,0.004456596],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1639231,0.001526829,0.000009053751,0.0004414326,0.0002149651,0.001501743,0.0001485402,0.00005190423,0.8321825],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9645512,0.003898185,0.00003814688,0.00006676847,0.00011437,0.00002229108,0.00000690698,0.00003937765,0.03126279],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8009197,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9873706,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04229022166914805,"score_gpt":0.3184749942615056,"score_spread":0.2761847725923576,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}