{"id":"W2737251932","doi":"10.20381/ruor-20713","title":"Three Essays on Modeling Aging Population","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"dissertation","venue":"uO Research (University of Ottawa)","topic":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Population ageing; Population; Sociology; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008010276,0.0008648489,0.0005208821,0.0008205352,0.001204471,0.001777658,0.001578305,0.001484997,0.007446649],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003269503,0.0003146443,0.0008267936,0.002072026,0.001879977,0.001764283,0.001072341,0.001577504,0.0009669159],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01104678,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005714048,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.4402387,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.4216653,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996942,0.00006765959,0.00001221362,0.00005200083,0.0001308527,0.00004312196],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993386,0.0002401127,0.00003897145,0.00007589192,0.0002486854,0.00005773829],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003510118,0.00004118689,0.00516427,0.000315919,0.00005548627,0.0003228601,0.001360254,0.1576788,0.000604403,0.6043751,0.1293686,0.100678],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001648602,0.00003014821,0.004363081,0.0005726058,0.00005527054,0.0001794068,0.0008773087,0.1305581,0.0005390627,0.3578427,0.5048959,0.00006988198],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04610123,0.08623682,0.493758,0.09503163,0.007180848,0.0003219038,0.004267051,0.001313307,0.2657893],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.4593713,0.1001812,0.1471623,0.008129129,0.003457242,0.0003742567,0.001841953,0.0005905704,0.2788922],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.4402387,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8753525,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1010005988645771,"score_gpt":0.3920386557700835,"score_spread":0.2910380569055064,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}