{"id":"W2739029225","doi":"10.17615/qfnm-rd76","title":"Redefine statistical significance","year":2025,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Artefactual Field Experiments","topic":"Scientific Computing and Data Management","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Royal Holloway, University of London; Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences, Northwestern University; University of California, Irvine; University of California, Los Angeles; Universität Innsbruck; Universität Zürich; Universität Regensburg; Universiteit Utrecht; Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; Universiteit van Amsterdam; University of New South Wales; Göteborgs Universitet; Ohio State University; National University of Singapore; University of Bristol; Columbia University; University of Edinburgh; Medical Research Council; University of Sussex; Northwestern University; York University; Dartmouth College; Cardiff University; University of Notre Dame; University of Pittsburgh; Princeton University; University of Washington; Johns Hopkins University; Directorate for Biological Sciences; Imperial College London; Arizona State University; Harvard University; Università degli Studi di Milano; University of Pennsylvania; University of Southern California; School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University; California Institute of Technology","keywords":"Statistical significance; Value (mathematics); Statistics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.001048222,0.0001129135,0.000177266,0.0001758846,0.0001880757,0.0003482147,0.0007647983,0.00004283253,0.002778183],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002243774,0.0000888146,0.00004879495,0.0004867925,0.00006080254,0.0001374703,0.0003761685,0.00009605847,0.001147394],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002404677,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004040735,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007897578,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000006654655,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977936,0.00008724687,0.0004616396,0.0006524363,0.0007415449,0.0002635168],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974214,0.001377825,0.00006375511,0.0009813678,0.00007251006,0.00008313766],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000310188,0.00008618658,0.001249545,0.000001987519,0.00001796256,0.00000871766,0.0003914212,0.00002305481,0.0008699112,0.03557878,0.8431539,0.1185875],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000753778,0.0001599884,0.009932438,0.00002927766,0.00001148249,0.00000133065,0.002429582,0.004355443,0.03389455,0.05529727,0.892818,0.0003168666],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.160319,0.0002091958,0.4638049,0.006250082,0.005710551,0.0004449789,0.00004501086,0.0002050664,0.3630113],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9763842,0.00000203121,0.002635283,0.002271722,0.00003734574,0.00001202014,0.000009872024,0.000003219242,0.01864434],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8160652,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996303,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1141012309792743,"score_gpt":0.4452637053697076,"score_spread":0.3311624743904333,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}