{"id":"W2742956873","doi":"10.1007/s00038-017-1017-y","title":"Danger ahead: the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Public Health","topic":"Employment and Welfare Studies","field":"Health Professions","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Norwegian Institute of Public Health; Ophthalmic Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Warwick Medical School; Medical Research Council; Alfaisal University; King Fahad Medical City; National Institutes of Health; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Golestan University of Medical Sciences; Karolinska Institutet; Arak University of Medical Sciences; Aswan University; Jimma University; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Hospital for Sick Children; Inyuvesi Yakwazulu-Natali; Cleveland Clinic; Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences; University of Oxford; Jordan University of Science and Technology; Ministry of Health and Medical Education; South African Medical Research Council; University of Warwick; King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre; Universitetet i Bergen; Maragheh University of Medical Sciences; University of Sydney; Lunds Universitet; Uniwersytet Jagielloński Collegium Medicum; Seattle Children's Research Institute; Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; University of Washington; Zahedan University of Medical Sciences; Iran University of Medical Sciences; University College London; Uniwersytet Medyczny im. Piastów Slaskich we Wroclawiu; Wellcome Trust; King Saud University; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Imperial College London; American University of Beirut; Baylor University; Queensland Health; Universität Bielefeld; University of Melbourne; Harvard University; National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; Jackson State University; Mekelle University; Arabian Gulf University; David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles; Alborz University of Medical Sciences; Ain Shams University; Ball State University; Mansoura University; Hamadan University of Medical Sciences; Charles R. Drew University of Medicine and Science; Massachusetts General Hospital","keywords":"Medicine; Environmental health; Malnutrition; Public health; Risk factor; Disease burden; Disease; Global health; Burden of disease; Unrest; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003258753,0.000120517,0.0002925998,0.0001791172,0.00079342,0.00007282956,0.001059608,0.00005718171,0.00003225401],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001623743,0.00006004424,0.00007825156,0.00005717101,0.0002503323,0.0003991469,0.0002209876,0.0006175251,0.000002536438],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001383663,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005314403,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0112598,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001006039,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9969125,0.001068,0.0008553995,0.0001121785,0.0007576846,0.0002942589],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9963225,0.000753521,0.00191475,0.0003019613,0.0005499145,0.0001573513],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004021926,0.00005405468,0.9093753,0.00002886452,0.0001375447,0.000007743754,0.03603479,8.737219e-7,4.044509e-7,0.00120256,0.04242885,0.01068877],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008416962,0.0001280505,0.8052587,0.0002247168,0.00001707844,0.000008083065,0.0135013,0.00004097479,2.314054e-7,0.001446264,0.1784743,0.00005858062],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.697181,0.00101615,0.00008963024,0.2994672,0.001459497,0.0002366422,0.00006572111,0.000004890741,0.0004793022],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9950401,0.001983062,0.00001206597,0.001001975,0.001669571,0.000009225415,0.000009906154,0.00001032257,0.0002637324],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2984652,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9953243,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1438103973151429,"score_gpt":0.4508111103312989,"score_spread":0.3070007130161561,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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