{"id":"W2746070685","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2017.08.011","title":"Is the recent low oil price attributable to the shale revolution?","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Energy Economics","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":49,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Korea University","keywords":"Oil shale; Oil price; Economics; Shale oil; Quarter (Canadian coin); Crude oil; Oil supply; Shale gas; Natural resource economics; Agricultural economics; Monetary economics; Petroleum engineering; Geology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007741562,0.00009413386,0.0002653621,0.0005822867,0.0003137806,0.002012176,0.0002985824,0.001260368,0.004747884],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006571032,0.0001144368,0.0002097907,0.001151028,0.001280319,0.002138474,0.0004816237,0.00171608,0.0004981855],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001046813,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006457111,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004985824,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005194296,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997929,0.00002747608,0.0000135113,0.00004199647,0.00006501074,0.0000592813],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9979335,0.0005678908,0.0009426926,0.0001341198,0.0003024859,0.0001193261],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001900209,0.0003315905,0.4679793,0.000836833,0.000475995,0.002935007,0.001471919,0.003860396,0.008473104,0.2829264,0.02970868,0.1991007],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004808213,0.0001987644,0.7762214,0.0002454021,0.0001054543,0.00136506,0.002822069,0.003512833,0.002042041,0.1206046,0.09277058,0.00006370636],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8632677,0.01456684,0.00194763,0.08540573,0.001245628,0.000009923983,0.0009344841,0.00006134428,0.03256081],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9879031,0.006173817,0.0001210083,0.002050315,0.001368687,0.000002070525,0.0001990819,0.00001508856,0.002166867],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004985824,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01588333,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03033581310930169,"score_gpt":0.2230596751765615,"score_spread":0.1927238620672598,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}