{"id":"W2753860871","doi":"10.1177/2057891117728129","title":"Aging gracefully? Why old autocrats hold competitive elections","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Asian Journal of Comparative Politics","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Konosuke Matsushita Memorial Foundation; University of Tokyo; York University; Syracuse University","keywords":"Dictator; Successor cardinal; Argument (complex analysis); Government (linguistics); Economics; Political economy; Order (exchange); Political science; Politics; Law; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001646314,0.00008979752,0.0003638189,0.0006847476,0.001627664,0.001807658,0.0003502626,0.0004675212,0.008089669],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008680063,0.0001667044,0.0001883524,0.0005824827,0.001361494,0.001266712,0.0008684351,0.0008171328,0.001242843],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006647684,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005747508,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01420877,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03546464,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988409,0.0002712278,0.0000788698,0.0002367976,0.0001496537,0.0004226424],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9939604,0.001339644,0.002532611,0.0005717157,0.0004393826,0.001156306],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002813115,0.0001208212,0.9329655,0.00006600142,0.00005350022,0.0005131654,0.008336188,0.0004140044,0.0006747256,0.01279625,0.006090969,0.03768759],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004582441,0.0001786545,0.9449557,0.00007261246,0.0000348799,0.0005589172,0.01570297,0.001048922,0.0004440347,0.008038375,0.02888761,0.00003153379],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9890808,0.0004703862,0.0003184502,0.001256523,0.00003424664,0.00001229119,0.0002882197,0.000009029859,0.008530125],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984665,0.000116138,0.00005272925,0.0001178235,0.00003116294,0.00000339081,0.00009477301,0.000003330574,0.001114258],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01420877,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02825212,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1019414935250937,"score_gpt":0.4213513171532015,"score_spread":0.3194098236281077,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}