{"id":"W2757131086","doi":"","title":"Is the Recent Low Oil Price Attributable to the Shale Revolution","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Korea University; National University of Mongolia","keywords":"Oil shale; Economics; Shale oil; Quarter (Canadian coin); Crude oil; Oil price; Oil supply; Shale gas; Supply shock; Natural resource economics; Monetary economics; Agricultural economics; Petroleum engineering; Monetary policy; Geology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007891475,0.0001179175,0.0003045192,0.0007365061,0.0003493713,0.002012392,0.0003115967,0.001085945,0.00406729],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00755045,0.0002138561,0.0003154122,0.001421478,0.0008655607,0.00177173,0.0006478958,0.001225809,0.0007753855],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009640644,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005788184,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.017906,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01110837,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996469,0.00004533484,0.00002815302,0.0001097782,0.00008181513,0.00008794383],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9959306,0.000663111,0.002538306,0.0002054824,0.0004833782,0.0001791524],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004158363,0.0001406498,0.9248337,0.0002150364,0.0002948109,0.0006049505,0.0007431037,0.003242651,0.002358887,0.01747481,0.01043424,0.03924128],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002422673,0.00008541158,0.9721714,0.00006250275,0.00009260434,0.0002205946,0.001449649,0.003513514,0.0008873505,0.008159627,0.01330139,0.00003172746],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9770711,0.001815369,0.0006627954,0.00896226,0.0002036665,0.000005989584,0.001288478,0.00003816228,0.009952048],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9976749,0.0007720524,0.00004267101,0.0002999392,0.0002128823,0.00000138833,0.0004922702,0.00001046438,0.0004934277],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.017906,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03560358,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0656792647981731,"score_gpt":0.3091438380684878,"score_spread":0.2434645732703147,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}