{"id":"W2765604597","doi":"","title":"Bayesian inference and model comparison for random choice structures","year":2013,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria; Université de Montréal","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Inference; Axiom; Bayesian inference; Bayesian probability; Conjugate prior; Class (philosophy); Joint probability distribution; Mathematics; Computer science; Posterior probability; Prior probability; Econometrics; Mathematical economics; Statistics; Artificial intelligence","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008841362,0.0001697746,0.0004485801,0.0001438296,0.0001505995,0.0001558223,0.0002552532,0.0001393837,0.0001200492],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005776571,0.0001500566,0.0000494773,0.00007005743,0.0002535082,0.0001375339,0.0001218335,0.0003774907,0.000002351461],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00009230538,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001029859,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006554187,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001264053,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982814,0.0001662935,0.0004702711,0.0004075766,0.0001371269,0.0005373639],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9907261,0.008518959,0.00008959831,0.0003512164,0.0001229802,0.0001912062],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009661666,0.00008691767,0.007334236,0.0002150602,0.00003269769,9.33797e-7,0.0003738927,0.0002843985,0.000346548,0.3364418,0.0002885358,0.6544983],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007771374,0.00005650398,0.001880676,0.00002570905,0.000004269621,0.000001072069,0.000117876,0.3881631,0.0001032249,0.6085007,0.0002410215,0.0001286758],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1971403,0.00006520626,0.7685875,0.0006076485,0.0001427687,0.002690801,0.00009268501,0.00007427762,0.03059886],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.5856375,0.000115932,0.4136862,0.00004234053,0.00004843377,0.0002391082,0.000003144613,0.00002289024,0.0002045419],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6543697,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6915513,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08881758202042353,"score_gpt":0.425511058224314,"score_spread":0.3366934762038905,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}