{"id":"W2765634741","doi":"10.1016/j.msard.2017.11.001","title":"Can falling infection rates in one country explain rising incidence of autoimmune and allergic diseases in other countries? Caution when (over) interpreting ecological data from disparate areas","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"letter","venue":"Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders","topic":"Climate Change and Health Impacts","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Vancouver Coastal Health; University of British Columbia; Vancouver Coastal Health Research Institute","funders":"","keywords":"Scopus; Mythology; Falling (accident); Web of science; Medicine; Incidence (geometry); MEDLINE; Environmental ethics; Data science; History; Environmental health; Political science; Classics; Law; Computer science; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004575772,0.0003167422,0.0005403344,0.0001198881,0.0002760835,0.0001283707,0.0002791932,0.0006195568,0.0003454901],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003751258,0.0002897618,0.00003307339,0.0001150808,0.0004259698,0.0004742799,0.000508436,0.0008117043,0.000006306752],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002516947,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002700686,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.09259935,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.08744049,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977416,0.0002085427,0.0006121653,0.0007043152,0.0002672517,0.000466132],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984455,0.0004613207,0.0005555208,0.0004435728,0.000008336374,0.00008580153],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009699979,0.0001182835,0.9912412,0.0001290259,0.00002965542,0.00001331301,0.001866404,0.0005291116,0.0003341811,4.967298e-7,0.004172515,0.00146878],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001357721,0.00005529498,0.9671958,0.002485466,0.00005051298,0.000001064723,0.000161312,0.02615604,0.000006653554,0.0004489117,0.001736177,0.0003450189],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9787801,0.002388752,0.00000829563,0.01740952,0.0001738878,0.0005034915,0.000638465,0.00002602874,0.00007145249],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9778562,0.0157291,0.00003271165,0.00523679,0.000045784,0.00002878417,0.001019873,0.00003284443,0.00001794417],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02562693,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999555,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06006104651994972,"score_gpt":0.2790214946364928,"score_spread":0.2189604481165431,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}