{"id":"W2768825335","doi":"10.5194/esd-9-679-2018","title":"Euro-Atlantic winter storminess and precipitation extremes under 1.5 °C vs. 2 °C warming scenarios","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth System Dynamics","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":45,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Biological and Environmental Research; Office of Science; Universität Hamburg; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft; U.S. Department of Energy","keywords":"Storm track; Climatology; Storm; Environmental science; Precipitation; Winter storm; Atmospheric circulation; Climate change; Climate model; Global warming; Atmospheric sciences; Geology; Oceanography; Meteorology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003337056,0.0001379258,0.0001571994,0.00003395933,0.000172273,0.0000601569,0.0001162776,0.00007215446,0.0001571611],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002520979,0.0001236835,0.00003145668,0.0001159101,0.0001775719,0.00026081,0.0001394534,0.00007294886,0.0002671161],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000135458,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000008326902,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003281508,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00252786,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989142,0.00007571321,0.0002343775,0.0003312502,0.0002063777,0.0002380312],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995043,0.00006391836,0.00008146867,0.0002486809,0.000019353,0.0000822224],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002741379,0.0003266467,0.9288708,0.0009365473,0.000102849,0.00003425377,0.01408087,0.02135376,0.008718318,0.008564532,0.0008300705,0.01590719],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003790398,0.0001255996,0.08131003,0.0001672809,0.00003154847,0.0000547358,0.0008850786,0.9154112,0.00004890344,0.0001742746,0.001133861,0.0002783898],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9789891,0.000008037318,0.01689389,0.0001599572,0.000378522,0.00026492,0.000009094118,0.00008369583,0.003212768],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9981534,0.000005717659,0.0008640373,0.00007853016,0.00007585514,0.000007750728,0.00001855514,0.00001676555,0.0007794084],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8940575,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5043667,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0138905313664973,"score_gpt":0.2231140552197537,"score_spread":0.2092235238532564,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}