{"id":"W2770452366","doi":"10.1175/waf-d-17-0036.1","title":"Evaluation of Cool-Season Extratropical Cyclones in a Multimodel Ensemble for Eastern North America and the Western Atlantic Ocean","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Weather and Forecasting","topic":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration","keywords":"Extratropical cyclone; Climatology; Environmental science; Meteorology; Cyclone (programming language); Geology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001570132,0.0009074619,0.0006700244,0.0005970328,0.0004225461,0.0006546414,0.000492044,0.0004748072,0.00056041],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001644798,0.0002620764,0.0008544644,0.000394721,0.0001552141,0.0006012422,0.000511597,0.0005085507,0.00009119393],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006518526,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009597199,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.08686878,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.07498647,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997534,0.00008708542,0.00002179128,0.00005524833,0.00004420423,0.00003819134],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993138,0.0002013044,0.00006728579,0.00007947181,0.0002324458,0.0001057285],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004068876,0.0003255698,0.151976,0.00004469662,0.000669532,0.0001406212,0.00006181954,0.8081558,0.004249008,0.0002109082,0.001535587,0.03222348],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005000394,0.0001125937,0.03798177,0.000008588581,0.00007477629,0.00001104054,0.00004288938,0.9603712,0.0009616812,0.00006807278,0.0003000984,0.00001730113],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9955714,0.000123682,0.002563532,0.00008881409,0.000034846,0.0000307798,0.0005433269,0.0001936464,0.0008500334],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9951705,0.0000575727,0.002885007,0.00002889043,0.00002436682,0.00002044547,0.001549641,0.00002000583,0.0002436139],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.08686878,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1727263,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09057442994158567,"score_gpt":0.2791959635278298,"score_spread":0.1886215335862441,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}