{"id":"W2771956133","doi":"10.1093/ej/ueac016","title":"Slow Recoveries and Unemployment Traps: Monetary Policy in a Time of Hysteresis*","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"The Economic Journal","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Unemployment; Monetary policy; Recession; Hysteresis; Zero lower bound; Monetary economics; Great recession; Point (geometry); Keynesian economics; Full employment; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002158288,0.0003096597,0.001049478,0.0005289032,0.0001548901,0.0001792441,0.0008887458,0.0001595752,0.002072411],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003399249,0.0003144876,0.000292436,0.00005410226,0.0001649884,0.0001947169,0.0009192677,0.0008958078,0.00008936146],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001126093,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002532245,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001855855,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008968428,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973977,0.00008526821,0.00163669,0.0004640578,0.00003090416,0.0003854212],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9976602,0.0001320568,0.001500005,0.0005962292,0.000007429394,0.0001040509],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001104777,0.0003657919,0.09844138,0.000521854,0.002344924,0.00004331362,0.02716663,0.1949189,0.00002922898,0.6557235,0.009911353,0.009428318],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001465784,0.0001905393,0.01274842,0.0001081139,0.00003232881,0.0001186907,0.000729797,0.008375586,0.00002027949,0.942591,0.03294488,0.0006746489],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.980318,0.006201768,0.00005590096,0.002369048,0.0009602458,0.0003337504,0.0008991573,0.00001168119,0.008850439],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.989228,0.006634525,0.00020234,0.0002712136,0.0005463439,0.0000449128,0.00002507089,0.00006342882,0.002984212],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2868674,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999307,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0260990927154846,"score_gpt":0.2267541637714505,"score_spread":0.2006550710559659,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}