{"id":"W2772029939","doi":"10.1175/jhm-d-17-0117.1","title":"Surface Moistening Trends in the Northern North American Great Plains Increase the Likelihood of Convective Initiation","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Hydrometeorology","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":39,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Institute of Food and Agriculture; Directorate for Biological Sciences; Montana Wheat and Barley Committee","keywords":"Hydrometeorology; Convective Boundary Layer; Environmental science; Precipitation; Latent heat; Convection; Sensible heat; Atmospheric sciences; Climatology; Boundary layer; Planetary boundary layer; Eddy covariance; Meteorology; Geography; Geology; Ecosystem; Turbulence","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001398251,0.0001022472,0.0002816205,0.00006691074,0.0002093236,0.00002470846,0.0006554913,0.00003890077,0.0001192294],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002563527,0.00005784212,0.0001040175,0.0002060979,0.0006532925,0.0002441367,0.0001298564,0.0003061289,0.000006785236],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00009297718,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001921308,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004706914,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03235722,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986207,0.0003944445,0.000396569,0.0001274179,0.0002540968,0.0002067648],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982676,0.0003550948,0.0009312065,0.0003712338,0.00002603505,0.00004883337],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001548912,0.0001198624,0.9839055,0.000002143559,0.00003115397,0.00003091034,0.00309668,0.007639101,0.001076164,0.00001886206,0.00003339149,0.003891357],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005164337,0.0005851696,0.9952025,0.000004486561,0.00004914405,0.0001289434,0.0003137065,0.002407718,0.00007342138,0.0004989682,0.000154497,0.00006503563],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9953706,0.00001246915,0.00004866469,0.001864268,0.00007538102,0.00007119805,0.00001076494,0.000002195083,0.002544496],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995895,0.00002024152,0.0001223134,0.000216802,0.00002920134,0.000001963131,0.000002088561,0.000006282881,0.00001163277],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02765031,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9852997,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01983453967953806,"score_gpt":0.2646402842933612,"score_spread":0.2448057446138231,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}