{"id":"W2773141439","doi":"10.5430/afr.v7n1p161","title":"The Pure Expectations Theory and Quarterly Interest Rate Premiums","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Accounting and Finance Research","topic":"Stochastic processes and financial applications","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Maturity (psychological); Interest rate; Quarter (Canadian coin); Sample (material); Econometrics; Risk premium; Term (time); Order (exchange); Zero (linguistics); Actuarial science; Financial economics; Monetary economics; Psychology; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002454729,0.00009264692,0.0001537651,0.00007664348,0.003205921,0.0008923878,0.0004398982,0.00006964765,0.000003597575],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001201745,0.0000799101,0.000026137,0.0001153807,0.0005442454,0.0003080182,0.0001453563,0.0002970753,0.00008759138],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001823135,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002557414,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001602189,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001108443,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99897,0.00001522917,0.0002570066,0.0003565863,0.0000408574,0.0003603066],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985855,0.0005544543,0.0002053933,0.0005115794,0.0001102705,0.00003275162],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001542275,0.00001192638,0.002315291,0.00001123413,0.00000659286,7.217473e-7,0.0006602029,1.418649e-7,0.00001682497,0.9637936,0.0001424714,0.03302557],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001896526,0.000054395,0.08205053,0.00002973897,0.000001794608,0.000003614354,0.001000376,0.000516174,0.00001335798,0.8979917,0.01803042,0.0001182407],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9328266,0.01475451,0.03412797,0.005892671,0.0002532947,0.0004836289,0.00006338016,0.00003477554,0.01156311],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997513,0.00116031,0.00016435,0.00002531635,0.0001529089,0.0001612333,0.000001864317,0.00001346485,0.0008075635],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07973524,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9980918,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06596785956539761,"score_gpt":0.328566611086867,"score_spread":0.2625987515214694,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}