{"id":"W2773365312","doi":"10.1177/233150241700500403","title":"DHS Overestimates Visa Overstays for 2016; Overstay Population Growth near Zero during the Year","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal on Migration and Human Security","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Homeland security; Fiscal year; Population; Demography; Demographic economics; Geography; Political science; Economics; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts","scholarly_communication"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004036451,0.00008115794,0.00009675611,0.0000320137,0.005826159,0.001041334,0.0001669281,0.00006557945,0.00008113415],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003101137,0.00006470075,0.00007501556,0.00002357341,0.0002130481,0.0005240742,0.00001649843,0.0001692255,0.000006090814],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001230035,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006572877,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03534331,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09728113,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992474,0.00005597208,0.0001487309,0.0001149164,0.0002370719,0.0001958785],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993033,0.00005595102,0.0003109451,0.0001363327,0.00006478788,0.0001287028],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009317499,0.00003727853,0.05011999,0.00002575326,0.0000212793,0.000004294631,0.01489208,0.00001043347,0.00007447639,0.8814284,0.05321626,0.00007660434],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009946532,0.0001096008,0.7256518,0.00009759556,0.00002116331,0.000005332559,0.0006761659,0.000154255,0.00006877314,0.1355767,0.1364357,0.0002083077],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9897094,0.00003142916,0.00001830128,0.007573881,0.0001535999,0.0001675778,0.00006776696,0.00001074075,0.002267274],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972702,0.0001437386,0.0000349072,0.0004842518,0.0004957265,0.000002965863,0.000003353998,0.000006842159,0.001557987],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7458516,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999957,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02362494000119692,"score_gpt":0.3212505012820537,"score_spread":0.2976255612808568,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}