{"id":"W2774631938","doi":"10.1108/jpbafm-15-03-2003-b003","title":"Long-run and short-run budgeting: empirical evidence for canada, uk, and usa","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Public Budgeting Accounting & Financial Management","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Incrementalism; Short run; Revenue; Economics; Balance (ability); Budget process; Empirical evidence; Macroeconomics; Finance; Politics; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001244802,0.0002131193,0.000407521,0.001952731,0.00170115,0.00197971,0.0007945967,0.0004242852,0.003316086],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01220214,0.0002409576,0.0003540222,0.008234583,0.0008792103,0.0009614863,0.0008241012,0.0008632845,0.000274225],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01919392,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02639223,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9901575,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9954901,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989827,0.0001032472,0.00006905971,0.00009773965,0.0003987057,0.0003484584],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9879321,0.002559153,0.00222351,0.0003500326,0.005541075,0.001394072],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003277739,0.00007992329,0.9609181,0.0001383998,0.0001609485,0.000136753,0.001142009,0.002018101,0.00008052541,0.002935469,0.006957315,0.02510485],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002923823,0.00003033347,0.9880515,0.0001083716,0.00008538387,0.00003829697,0.002159028,0.001386982,0.0001316156,0.0003105215,0.007638828,0.0000298161],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9798707,0.003910845,0.0002848505,0.00200763,0.00003298022,0.0000282229,0.003791071,0.00002878526,0.01004499],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9902886,0.002848506,0.0002775776,0.000221048,0.0000122652,0.00001076829,0.004390487,0.00001443679,0.001936253],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01919392,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1392623,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08560644232014433,"score_gpt":0.2722620825678957,"score_spread":0.1866556402477514,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}