{"id":"W2775498257","doi":"10.5430/ijfr.v9n1p50","title":"Does the January Effect Still Exists?","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Financial Research","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Nonparametric statistics; Stock (firearms); January effect; Econometrics; Economics; Financial economics; Stock market; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01008166,0.0002806909,0.00155566,0.001377407,0.0007237304,0.003027252,0.001029559,0.001716856,0.009353411],"category_scores_gemma":[0.05954037,0.0002638997,0.00114317,0.001749778,0.003088978,0.005345243,0.001842086,0.002024883,0.001202806],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007488382,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009228372,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002031814,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001725213,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9954262,0.001311586,0.000414728,0.001368491,0.001004582,0.0004743661],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9146456,0.05666262,0.01876509,0.005127106,0.00317455,0.001624991],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002561431,0.0002430602,0.740663,0.001378632,0.001509104,0.001374441,0.002322277,0.001421655,0.002129626,0.05729223,0.009745393,0.1793592],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002032519,0.001360206,0.8600699,0.0005037182,0.0008503946,0.001725716,0.004005888,0.002775242,0.002384513,0.08248913,0.04350049,0.000131573],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8453432,0.04326127,0.01761311,0.04226196,0.002343067,0.0001417775,0.001520963,0.0003629467,0.04715168],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9897423,0.002072381,0.0009159866,0.003316214,0.001819597,0.00001505194,0.000217321,0.00005670595,0.001844621],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01008166,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05331749,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08417730086471942,"score_gpt":0.366092860995277,"score_spread":0.2819155601305576,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}