{"id":"W2780757756","doi":"10.3386/w24220","title":"Wage Dynamics and Returns to Unobserved Skill","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Political Economy and Marxism","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada; Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Wage; Economics; Dynamics (music); Econometrics; Labour economics; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008835262,0.0001448163,0.0003896898,0.0004984551,0.0003474548,0.0001120146,0.0005311591,0.0005018245,0.001138141],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005227167,0.0001580813,0.000103814,0.0001544436,0.0009999066,0.000169266,0.0002821704,0.0004834459,0.0002789901],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003430058,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006515623,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01860921,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03495317,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971304,0.0002482567,0.0005016697,0.0004806374,0.001038141,0.0006009018],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962264,0.001358087,0.0001457752,0.0002259071,0.001644686,0.0003991713],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001440228,0.00002517411,0.0004216894,0.00004029798,0.00005279163,0.000001558527,0.000435378,0.00000211533,0.000001314875,0.9408206,0.05681656,0.00136811],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001880259,0.0001073785,0.002311575,0.00009633612,0.00001008757,0.000002375656,0.0006406233,0.0001432978,0.00002033133,0.6010483,0.3951764,0.0002552542],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01362639,0.0001274796,0.000002984809,0.005087174,0.0005940571,0.0004785673,0.0002515529,0.00001670422,0.9798151],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8718753,0.001335423,0.0002594405,0.0001516312,0.002777121,0.00007292837,0.0002403353,0.00003267411,0.1232551],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8582489,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997749,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4341837505667906,"score_gpt":0.5731956997279021,"score_spread":0.1390119491611115,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}