{"id":"W2784950258","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3094381","title":"Stock Market Overvaluation, Moon Shots, and Corporate Innovation (Presentation Slides)","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Insurance and Financial Risk Management","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"York University","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Stock market; Presentation (obstetrics); Stock (firearms); Financial system; Geography; Materials science; Metallurgy; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00277341,0.0001176576,0.0001969454,0.0002362666,0.0006721068,0.0003105523,0.0002294522,0.00006490868,0.00009009465],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002388293,0.0001342141,0.00004264971,0.0001426259,0.00004523804,0.0008408602,0.00005055311,0.0004896592,0.00007378743],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003546609,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001619391,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000187877,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003017152,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984401,0.0000173214,0.0004938797,0.0002287671,0.0000706202,0.0007492838],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983178,0.00001145399,0.001272912,0.0002628245,0.0001073286,0.00002772119],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004320771,0.00002284451,0.1321457,0.000007352278,0.00004925449,0.000001532026,0.0000714772,0.00001852724,0.00001178388,0.8372995,0.00088286,0.02944595],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006047512,0.0000852247,0.3406251,0.000007441864,0.00000695951,0.00001376726,0.00008916749,0.00126119,0.000009415859,0.6530666,0.004102485,0.0001278028],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9403471,0.002081235,0.0355447,0.001514273,0.0005728332,0.0002793494,0.00001678329,0.00001728507,0.01962638],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.988343,0.006739675,0.0001289119,0.0001209427,0.0002387639,0.00001108299,0.000009898468,0.00001667342,0.004391023],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2084794,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5473092,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04665967855631125,"score_gpt":0.2583828549819611,"score_spread":0.2117231764256498,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}