{"id":"W2789015895","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2018.01.016","title":"Dividend barrier strategy: Proceed with caution","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Statistics & Probability Letters","topic":"Probability and Risk Models","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; University of Bath","keywords":"Dividend; Mathematics; Risk model; Ruin theory; Focus (optics); Mathematical economics; Simple (philosophy); Risk process; Constant (computer programming); Econometrics; Actuarial science; Calculus (dental); Applied mathematics; Epistemology; Economics; Computer science; Philosophy; Finance; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00344588,0.0003161343,0.0004184388,0.0001532697,0.0005059433,0.0004875799,0.0008161085,0.0001151474,0.0006241306],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002846346,0.0002122654,0.00007865478,0.0007339683,0.001911955,0.0006313757,0.0001557089,0.0003168055,0.0004530588],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000177691,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003317938,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001719599,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001313773,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9950931,0.0003922051,0.0008869467,0.001163211,0.001838642,0.0006258603],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9963294,0.0008370561,0.0003033986,0.001141979,0.001107727,0.0002804951],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001592406,0.000878258,0.1478545,0.0002615737,0.0002191816,0.00007996893,0.008723872,0.0008159545,0.008777315,0.6565999,0.09033166,0.08386546],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004814923,0.0004441459,0.03638221,0.00002327944,0.00003738411,0.00001375226,0.00004201624,0.002628236,0.0007344193,0.9556853,0.003145817,0.0003819842],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4043417,0.000012974,0.5916021,0.002031866,0.0001860468,0.0006025104,0.0002769465,0.00008501529,0.0008607995],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8366094,0.000001955885,0.1615126,0.00126639,0.0001892382,0.00005247943,0.00002262697,0.00002230264,0.0003230404],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.4322677,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.865593,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09460330914529129,"score_gpt":0.3530569318045788,"score_spread":0.2584536226592875,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}