{"id":"W2791202849","doi":"10.1111/ecog.03534","title":"Canadian butterfly climate debt is significant and correlated with range size","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ecography","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":30,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa; Université du Québec à Montréal; University of Calgary; McGill University; University of British Columbia; University of Alberta; Simon Fraser University","funders":"Ontario Ministry of Research and Innovation","keywords":"Extinction debt; Biological dispersal; Ecology; Climate change; Range (aeronautics); Habitat; Geography; Debt; Ecological niche; Global warming; Biology; Habitat destruction; Population; Economics; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002273796,0.0001606619,0.0001360542,0.0006345148,0.0009067774,0.0005599692,0.0002693782,0.0001706771,0.002198331],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001644847,0.0001249019,0.0002177092,0.0009247235,0.0003616956,0.0002509393,0.0002949324,0.0002941113,0.0001035928],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003595187,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002430535,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9060521,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.961626,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998881,0.000007034851,0.000005250316,0.00003269824,0.00003904966,0.00002783211],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989778,0.0001856643,0.000269839,0.00006906774,0.0003269171,0.0001708199],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001590008,0.000003642619,0.9956251,0.000009199857,0.00003611834,0.00002534427,0.0001176129,0.0008914537,0.0004023763,0.0001227654,0.0004063773,0.002344159],"study_design_scores_gemma":[6.046962e-7,0.000002224147,0.9986363,0.000002524896,0.00000554116,0.00002593969,0.00009301487,0.000709077,0.00003003993,0.00004133191,0.0004504882,0.000002998408],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9951575,0.0002316762,0.0002640305,0.0001524437,0.000002853805,0.000004255934,0.001292162,0.00001499807,0.002880014],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998717,0.0001100861,0.0001647565,0.00002181744,0.000001817767,0.000002490909,0.0006386535,0.000002606659,0.0003408108],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09394795,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1890024,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006658859720234177,"score_gpt":0.1904529391333414,"score_spread":0.1837940794131072,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}