{"id":"W2791903290","doi":"10.1098/rsif.2017.0849","title":"A novel Bayesian approach to predicting reductions in HIV incidence following increased testing interventions among gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men in Vancouver, Canada","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of The Royal Society Interface","topic":"HIV, Drug Use, Sexual Risk","field":"Medicine","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"BC Centre for Disease Control; University of British Columbia","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Psychological intervention; Population; Demography; Men who have sex with men; Medicine; Incidence (geometry); Gerontology; Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Environmental health; Immunology; Psychiatry","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001110725,0.0002189502,0.0004514913,0.00009734381,0.000186435,0.00004676413,0.0003070727,0.00009006762,0.000008956813],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007533783,0.0001556417,0.0001280276,0.0004862831,0.0001513279,0.0001663031,0.0002020869,0.0007888622,3.305512e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009002884,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005436245,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2100305,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3017245,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998014,0.0001199398,0.0007067237,0.0002765654,0.0005172027,0.0003655665],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987496,0.0001822408,0.0004119324,0.0002497951,0.0001686318,0.0002377824],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002111416,0.0004066801,0.8856974,0.0001537576,0.0004247903,0.00001943486,0.04798496,0.02332896,0.001935593,0.000001380053,0.03924433,0.000591577],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004274212,0.0009109177,0.1334126,0.006136757,0.0003495502,0.0002349068,0.3008823,0.5517221,0.001425285,0.00001334078,0.000242564,0.0003953923],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9616983,0.00008049321,0.03123548,0.0005548056,0.0001466722,0.0004787435,0.00001476854,0.00001500934,0.005775711],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9853386,8.582204e-7,0.0104973,0.0001685411,0.0002180667,0.00001293984,4.222269e-7,0.00003897726,0.003724315],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7522848,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.79523,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04056638637368662,"score_gpt":0.320681245516606,"score_spread":0.2801148591429193,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}