{"id":"W2793011790","doi":"10.2118/189802-ms","title":"Reconciling Empirical Methods for Reliable EUR and Production Profile Forecasts of Horizontal Wells in Tight/Shale Reservoirs","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"","topic":"Hydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Analysis","field":"Engineering","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Computer science; Workflow; Production (economics); Oil shale; Enhanced oil recovery; Petroleum engineering; Operations research; Econometrics; Geology; Economics; Engineering; Paleontology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006502969,0.0007714924,0.0005960725,0.001920249,0.0003999955,0.00217807,0.001709215,0.001021021,0.001708621],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02568451,0.0005867396,0.0007484376,0.00100682,0.0006292178,0.002791431,0.002210703,0.00190719,0.0005292419],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001130779,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001641731,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008235393,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006695695,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984475,0.0005665654,0.000181067,0.0002816828,0.0004445693,0.00007871792],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9905078,0.004433952,0.001339692,0.001191003,0.002304738,0.00022272],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001321117,0.00008492862,0.02413534,0.0001466664,0.0001103701,0.0001127044,0.0002886624,0.7822762,0.003015724,0.01622079,0.001544688,0.1719318],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000006849894,0.00001472932,0.001858885,0.00003220366,0.000005894547,0.00001497025,0.00005935854,0.9885307,0.001336147,0.007084981,0.001040236,0.00001505626],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.07024591,0.0003505489,0.923737,0.0008022481,0.0000670671,0.0001272057,0.0004822269,0.00150565,0.00268213],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6765165,0.0002110428,0.3212233,0.00009258547,0.00005484974,0.0001455166,0.0006979404,0.0002132263,0.0008450795],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.008235393,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0343914,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03055711064045126,"score_gpt":0.3311750899330162,"score_spread":0.300617979292565,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}