{"id":"W2797975009","doi":"10.1007/s00199-019-01184-w","title":"Strategic advance sales, demand uncertainty and overcommitment","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Theory","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph","funders":"","keywords":"Microeconomics; Competitive equilibrium; Economics; Demand curve; Convexity; Distribution (mathematics); Market demand schedule; Value (mathematics); Production (economics); Computer science; Mathematics; Financial economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009606931,0.0002375755,0.0005249374,0.0001057037,0.00008649525,0.00009227025,0.0002503496,0.0001092745,0.002532733],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001024854,0.0002768531,0.0001093815,0.00002704013,0.0001112414,0.0003398865,0.0001189204,0.0001475627,0.00437344],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002425749,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003137406,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007275224,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003223151,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983679,0.00003031251,0.0005882091,0.0006303024,0.00001137217,0.000371904],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988629,0.000157457,0.0003057248,0.0005424423,0.000006099855,0.0001254057],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006043999,0.00002028833,0.005890109,0.0000219644,0.00006246754,9.789821e-7,0.0002132098,0.00269987,0.00001331281,0.9904354,0.0001487388,0.0004332638],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001010236,0.0000824102,0.001603372,0.00001304937,0.000005829614,0.000009823943,0.0004510528,0.00328176,0.00002682229,0.9470102,0.04611095,0.0003945411],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8590689,0.004512426,0.0004356751,0.0001784035,0.0008654435,0.0003085044,0.0002257008,0.00005134028,0.1343536],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9917358,0.0006890385,0.0002665941,0.0003437585,0.0001345618,0.00002323461,0.0000250157,0.00003963537,0.006742414],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1326669,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999683,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01628417927566194,"score_gpt":0.2035030485691849,"score_spread":0.1872188692935229,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}