{"id":"W2800440726","doi":"10.4018/978-1-4666-5888-2.ch376","title":"Modeling Stock Market Industrial Sectors as Dynamic Systems and Forecasting","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Advances in information quality and management","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Stock market; Business; Econometrics; Economics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001270018,0.0002397531,0.00065084,0.0004889983,0.0001253125,0.0001948418,0.0001130951,0.0001641066,0.0001380201],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004196086,0.0002753735,0.00007611091,0.00006219406,0.0000382212,0.0008533462,0.0001584571,0.0001804498,0.00003415492],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001225381,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000005151436,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006120626,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002618048,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978549,0.00001804263,0.001567437,0.0002815056,0.0000901649,0.0001878971],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987297,0.00004555578,0.0008891114,0.0002481489,0.00003138528,0.00005609914],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002806032,0.000002785762,0.0001827822,0.001136275,0.00007698535,6.405525e-7,0.0001720266,0.01006826,3.561552e-9,0.9510412,0.0000644212,0.03722655],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006276812,0.00003772703,0.00009695163,0.0002875543,0.00002124253,0.000002724612,0.0003984702,0.3481614,7.001325e-9,0.03487419,0.615086,0.0004060745],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.001528475,0.007261665,0.04535875,0.00008939212,0.0006655813,0.0008669102,0.0001584228,0.00004002319,0.9440308],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.73138,0.04030797,0.001093975,0.0005459149,0.0003695681,0.0002487325,0.0005778953,0.00008951547,0.2253865],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.916167,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999698,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0717975439015548,"score_gpt":0.2580412294451436,"score_spread":0.1862436855435888,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}