{"id":"W2800500447","doi":"10.1080/09592296.2018.1453983","title":"The Clash of Historical Analogies and Their Influence on Decision-Making: The Case of Iraqi Reconstruction Under George W. Bush","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Diplomacy and Statecraft","topic":"International Relations and Foreign Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Université de Sherbrooke","keywords":"George (robot); Administration (probate law); Analogy; Foreign policy; Cold war; Political science; Period (music); Nationalism; Law; History; Ancient history; Economic history; Philosophy; Epistemology; Art history; Politics; Aesthetics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004006665,0.00005708016,0.00007946474,0.00004968234,0.0006774251,0.00003392749,0.0001002012,0.00004208104,0.00001217774],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004607654,0.00003021206,0.00002862388,0.0001366288,0.0008947484,0.0001031339,0.00003512015,0.00007386378,0.000001248336],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005158068,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004790975,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007688308,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007464903,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994278,0.00007400603,0.000185795,0.00009636121,0.0001102745,0.0001057644],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984494,0.001124342,0.0001177441,0.0001048648,0.0001778666,0.00002579423],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000542933,0.00001338188,0.001323416,0.000002303374,0.00002020286,0.000002318257,0.004772769,0.00001795371,0.00002541624,0.9241663,0.0002155705,0.06938608],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001703424,0.0001388324,0.0195156,0.00005220773,0.00001152308,0.00005007658,0.006989486,0.0006438686,0.00007522199,0.9558822,0.0163918,0.00007882791],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9677947,0.0001882356,0.0005659063,0.000471944,0.00006981637,0.00008754815,0.00001326784,0.000008702495,0.03079994],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.999202,0.0003889698,0.00009224692,0.00005975217,0.00005233629,0.000002918191,2.527981e-7,0.000003000594,0.0001985141],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06930725,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5210274,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01756615428055761,"score_gpt":0.333544964722516,"score_spread":0.3159788104419584,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}