{"id":"W2803299442","doi":"","title":"A hybrid physical-statistical model for the estimation of insured loss from catastrophic severe storm activity over the United States and Canada","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"27th Conference on Severe Local Storms","topic":"Flood Risk Assessment and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Storm; Estimation; Environmental science; Econometrics; Climatology; Meteorology; Actuarial science; Geography; Economics; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001699961,0.000185008,0.0001955398,0.00001456251,0.0002106546,0.00004109157,0.0002736882,0.00002858211,0.00008491376],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003767313,0.0001019919,0.00002935548,0.00006797806,0.0003210602,0.0001248103,0.000143231,0.0001624791,0.00000442289],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001956607,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006648702,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.5549111,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3470774,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998799,0.00006322827,0.0001459427,0.0002879346,0.0004645902,0.0002392512],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990444,0.0004275162,0.0001162234,0.0003063374,0.0000199629,0.00008557765],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003867994,0.0002221877,0.003435928,0.00003553447,0.00009661158,0.00000225906,0.0008669283,0.8450134,0.00009138776,0.01025981,0.00638405,0.133205],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005195852,0.0001221826,0.07956102,0.00001203427,0.00004957292,5.536279e-7,0.0001207547,0.9130403,0.00007446607,0.005611866,0.0007414562,0.0001461419],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.678862,0.00000205524,0.3199222,0.0004702193,0.00004606132,0.0003076111,0.000317858,0.00001007613,0.00006183059],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988527,0.00001897314,0.0005431233,0.000306121,0.00002021148,0.00004903267,0.0001288354,0.0000116362,0.00006939754],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3199906,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6648367,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0112934445646195,"score_gpt":0.2325679932245845,"score_spread":0.221274548659965,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}