{"id":"W2804084427","doi":"10.18381/eq.v14i2.7227","title":"Un sistema de alerta temprana para crisis cambiarias en Argentina y Brasil, 1990-2009","year":2018,"lang":"es","type":"article","venue":"EconoQuantum","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations","funders":"","keywords":"Financial crisis; Humanities; Political science; Economics; Philosophy; Keynesian economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.002599459,0.0007711076,0.001516723,0.0006208041,0.000653144,0.0005850791,0.001184811,0.0007379807,0.009727665],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003414322,0.001027566,0.0006857352,0.0003998242,0.0003736785,0.0007204693,0.000268993,0.0005848528,0.02567771],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003942753,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001661386,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00297903,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004221528,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9945099,0.0002682675,0.002148519,0.001466042,0.00003872187,0.001568553],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.995977,0.0004564294,0.001329088,0.00160388,0.0000648775,0.0005686572],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001393552,0.0003532067,0.1084597,0.0002356636,0.0006997491,0.00002766256,0.002099323,0.00001748841,0.00003865542,0.846753,0.03958567,0.001590461],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002263761,0.0008695223,0.08300225,0.000163904,0.0001753615,0.0001103015,0.0007280336,0.0050899,0.002106471,0.1599517,0.7433065,0.002232256],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.922494,0.004830277,0.0005400339,0.004721703,0.003094683,0.0005074682,0.00121828,0.0001325723,0.06246101],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9852175,0.001569672,0.0004828022,0.00281456,0.003179753,0.00005164847,0.00007148922,0.0001674233,0.006445228],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7037208,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9992175,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02739108046769976,"score_gpt":0.2554975791345619,"score_spread":0.2281064986668621,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}