{"id":"W2804434725","doi":"","title":"The Mostly Failed Invasion of the South Shore of the St-Lawrence River by Spruce Budworm Moths on 15-16 July 2013, its Monitoring by Weather Radars, and Lessons Learned Relevant to Weather Surveillance","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"38th Conference on Radar Meteorology","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Spruce budworm; Shore; Geography; Oceanography; Lepidoptera genitalia; Ecology; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008447562,0.0002810131,0.0003533828,0.00002648329,0.0007647877,0.00004354662,0.001539383,0.0001815627,0.0003012419],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003186682,0.000153017,0.00008627422,0.0001138872,0.00129844,0.0001027389,0.0008295417,0.0003858206,0.00005192793],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00008355216,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003651153,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005335551,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00131296,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977806,0.0004274812,0.0003311436,0.0005608753,0.0004371573,0.0004627467],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997843,0.0002897269,0.0004726956,0.00126939,0.00003589572,0.00008924852],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003165741,0.001003447,0.4218668,0.0001100105,0.0006184906,0.00001665635,0.01122095,0.0007401122,0.3088528,0.05722502,0.1205077,0.07467224],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001650598,0.001176285,0.8855993,0.0001261056,0.00008032567,0.000004645698,0.0006293931,0.0003536456,0.04639897,0.0067222,0.05670469,0.0005538996],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9791484,0.0001929622,0.00006215683,0.01469766,0.0006176205,0.0008090193,0.0001237762,0.00001859679,0.004329776],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9946382,0.0004710197,0.00008979563,0.0003234924,0.00001735548,0.00003555071,0.000001635604,0.00002178076,0.004401178],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4637324,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6239854,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02684756187404565,"score_gpt":0.2592007323839179,"score_spread":0.2323531705098723,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}