{"id":"W2804434725","doi":"","title":"The Mostly Failed Invasion of the South Shore of the St-Lawrence River by Spruce Budworm Moths on 15-16 July 2013, its Monitoring by Weather Radars, and Lessons Learned Relevant to Weather Surveillance","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"38th Conference on Radar Meteorology","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Spruce budworm; Shore; Geography; Oceanography; Lepidoptera genitalia; Ecology; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001002362,0.0001944663,0.0001472844,0.0003747254,0.00125777,0.001490088,0.0003800443,0.0006342004,0.001872511],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001396419,0.0001818025,0.0001712131,0.0003286294,0.001061992,0.0005509082,0.0008080401,0.001091572,0.0003237539],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002020315,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001580414,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1664097,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.5847352,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995691,0.00005622162,0.00001753817,0.00005874605,0.0001641656,0.0001341681],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998951,0.00009934726,0.0002748751,0.00006888052,0.0003850555,0.0002209541],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002589701,0.0001150844,0.8774976,0.0002746598,0.0001381672,0.001488536,0.002806917,0.001006367,0.01071389,0.001459497,0.02339626,0.08084421],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003854143,0.0001068424,0.9568148,0.00009993326,0.00001853574,0.0002630414,0.004096529,0.00031101,0.002279371,0.0002013134,0.03578725,0.00001745959],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.959201,0.001739152,0.0007573617,0.01290404,0.0003725779,0.00002313963,0.0009481329,0.00006360994,0.0239911],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9859484,0.001131695,0.0005379913,0.001037718,0.00008241222,0.000005782578,0.0004575733,0.00001062333,0.01078788],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8335903,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3308821,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02684756187404565,"score_gpt":0.2592007323839179,"score_spread":0.2323531705098723,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}