{"id":"W2805840487","doi":"","title":"Post-Processing of Canadian Regional-Scale NWP to Develop First-Guess Forecasts of Thunderstorm and Severe Weather Threat Areas","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"27th Conference on Severe Local Storms","topic":"Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Meteorology; Thunderstorm; Climatology; Numerical weather prediction; Scale (ratio); Weather forecasting; Severe weather; Environmental science; Geography; Storm; Cartography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000258992,0.0002010019,0.000346891,0.000230285,0.0001997296,0.00003084336,0.000243743,0.0001409374,0.001197476],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008809637,0.0001429633,0.00004001761,0.0004601998,0.0002017365,0.0001578515,0.00001799686,0.0001329959,0.00004158556],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00002593648,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002401376,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06787425,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.4400789,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986073,0.00005263068,0.0002993573,0.0003338247,0.0003175684,0.0003892792],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987226,0.0001797949,0.0001116655,0.00020133,0.000295142,0.0004895361],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006089202,0.0000866198,0.4101839,0.0001864965,0.00006217287,0.000007421902,0.006186638,0.01968144,0.00004714256,0.009312511,0.0008209708,0.5528158],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006460197,0.0009542244,0.9499556,0.0001666583,0.00002393411,0.00001757113,0.001301232,0.03048965,0.00003933884,0.008419113,0.007513974,0.0004727258],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9534243,0.00009308726,0.002714133,0.001718277,0.0001026706,0.0002707962,0.0001319509,0.00002357582,0.04152126],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9978294,0.00001864638,0.0007922837,0.0009287526,0.00003406607,0.000002061625,0.00006118484,0.000005791645,0.0003278205],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5523431,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997156,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03877260222774947,"score_gpt":0.219320662132344,"score_spread":0.1805480599045945,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}