{"id":"W2806969294","doi":"10.1111/gcb.14284","title":"The effect of warmer winters on the demography of an outbreak insect is hidden by intraspecific competition","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service; Alberta Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry","funders":"Los Alamos National Laboratory; Laboratory Directed Research and Development; Office of Science; U.S. Department of Energy","keywords":"Bark beetle; Intraspecific competition; Competition (biology); Ecology; Mountain pine beetle; Climate change; Range (aeronautics); Biology; Basal area; Geography; Curculionidae","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008781344,0.0001876569,0.0003801394,0.000575571,0.000524969,0.0009346931,0.0004661868,0.0003152739,0.002989415],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002239978,0.0001626596,0.0004187775,0.0004271576,0.0005576161,0.0003902215,0.0004411131,0.0004855848,0.0001245683],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006458318,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003790317,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0749274,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1825359,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995838,0.0001356532,0.00001753403,0.0001191569,0.00004409455,0.00009985907],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980354,0.0007224436,0.0005402041,0.0002536071,0.000131136,0.0003173837],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001197366,0.00002877918,0.9923561,0.0000127957,0.0001626339,0.00005529484,0.0001370275,0.00100699,0.002856139,0.0001391017,0.0001969865,0.002928416],"study_design_scores_gemma":[9.949922e-7,0.000007711796,0.9987525,0.000001768998,0.00001292959,0.00001593172,0.0001075899,0.0009607601,0.00004638821,0.00003216873,0.00005923809,0.000001872877],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9991156,0.00008344976,0.0002497807,0.00003436792,0.000002131605,0.000001571756,0.0001325769,0.000007082583,0.0003733409],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9997668,0.0000104959,0.00006297504,0.000008060497,0.000001586941,8.510557e-7,0.00008400289,0.000001717453,0.00006362926],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0749274,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1489825,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01372165071045288,"score_gpt":0.2410007204772658,"score_spread":0.2272790697668129,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}