{"id":"W2884388875","doi":"","title":"Theoretically, How Long is This Recovery Supposed to Take Anyway?","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Trends","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Pace; Quarter (Canadian coin); Recession; Economics; Investment (military); Economic recovery; Consumption (sociology); Real gross domestic product; Private consumption; Perspective (graphical); Development economics; Macroeconomics; Geography; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007997424,0.0004329719,0.0009759134,0.0009933086,0.000220907,0.0003942531,0.0007847881,0.0003701286,0.03431996],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000120738,0.0005361805,0.00061327,0.0002916229,0.0001688315,0.0005258502,0.0001212218,0.0004592073,0.01485292],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002182449,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006797145,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006357436,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002362467,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970852,0.00002220728,0.0009710703,0.001084601,0.00003053677,0.0008063927],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9977638,0.0001410931,0.0004680388,0.001200013,0.00002250423,0.0004046175],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008805043,0.0001252008,0.04731783,0.00001988975,0.0003517843,0.00001047314,0.001157405,0.00007431392,0.0001754551,0.7269478,0.2017349,0.02199697],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001029966,0.0001705237,0.05233175,0.000009103783,0.000044977,0.00001814149,0.00003547787,0.00112423,0.001380275,0.04416395,0.8984921,0.001199534],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6224375,0.0001871363,0.0004517421,0.02545927,0.002525572,0.0001527543,0.001649317,0.0001229133,0.3470138],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9200232,0.0001049456,0.0006668798,0.002871792,0.001152922,0.00004600019,0.00007888257,0.00008527835,0.07497011],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6967573,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999709,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01583841423674998,"score_gpt":0.2225279176351506,"score_spread":0.2066895033984006,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}