{"id":"W2884752382","doi":"","title":"The Ups and Downs of Current-Account Deficits","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Trends","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Current account; Quarter (Canadian coin); Current (fluid); Economics; Monetary economics; Geography; Exchange rate","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002182894,0.0001156951,0.0002770572,0.0001085314,0.0001208601,0.00006696521,0.000178967,0.00004662358,0.0001039505],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001734104,0.000104455,0.00009214898,0.00008133393,0.00006770897,0.000113748,0.0000236689,0.00007449928,0.0001727765],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004953162,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001152364,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001644686,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008805985,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990789,0.00000526349,0.0004686145,0.000204305,0.00001254939,0.0002304055],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994251,0.00003180735,0.0002492414,0.0002380324,0.000007732323,0.00004812833],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001057614,0.00001935626,0.01017769,0.000003154077,0.00001015388,1.900587e-7,0.0001833817,0.00001930101,0.000004547085,0.9036735,0.008846236,0.07705187],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002400177,0.00006659485,0.3304566,0.000004822891,0.000003742031,0.000003057138,0.00002605871,0.000116574,0.00002787287,0.03467534,0.634239,0.0001402936],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8589855,0.01685744,0.00001975426,0.001594229,0.0007565463,0.00004777194,0.000281904,0.0000201412,0.1214367],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9975832,0.001442717,0.00002028795,0.0001008215,0.0001341719,0.000003223714,0.000005615758,0.000006425641,0.0007036054],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8689982,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4259551,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02402100384387088,"score_gpt":0.2474655132376792,"score_spread":0.2234445093938084,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}