{"id":"W2885496707","doi":"10.1029/2018gl078428","title":"The Early Collapse of the 2017 Lincoln Sea Ice Arch in Response to Anomalous Sea Ice and Wind Forcing","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Geophysical Research Letters","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":35,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Dairy Farmers of Ontario; University of Toronto","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Universität Bremen; University of Washington; National Center for Atmospheric Research","keywords":"Sea ice; Arctic ice pack; Geology; Climatology; Drift ice; Oceanography; Antarctic sea ice; Arctic; Fast ice; Climate change; Arctic sea ice decline; Forcing (mathematics)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003554129,0.0001502807,0.0002370209,0.0007140604,0.0006467464,0.000850084,0.0001861421,0.0003735183,0.00112398],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001297429,0.0001083409,0.0002057981,0.0003148846,0.0005140665,0.0002580305,0.0009043507,0.0005540097,0.0001740642],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009157752,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004712188,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01643278,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03133103,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999899,0.0000130383,0.000009404192,0.00001382477,0.00002896891,0.00003569576],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999339,0.00009579984,0.0001930793,0.00004045538,0.0001285094,0.0002030244],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006062821,0.0001064037,0.9698504,0.00003446206,0.0001453699,0.001646838,0.0006445982,0.002012553,0.01748527,0.0004542446,0.001502888,0.005510655],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000005928559,0.0000650298,0.9951187,0.00001179032,0.00001146174,0.0002071534,0.0006115509,0.002343895,0.0008761082,0.0001215492,0.0006156865,0.0000111294],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9990909,0.00002985595,0.00004552428,0.00005098103,0.00001215584,0.000002871368,0.00009050572,0.000005855663,0.000671424],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9996256,0.00001709768,0.00002399925,0.0000146698,0.000006146839,0.000002512729,0.0001829635,0.000001434577,0.0001254726],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01643278,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03267425,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02126415445085567,"score_gpt":0.2809031666469738,"score_spread":0.2596390121961182,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}